horse comes from the clouds, toss out. Minimum of 5 runs to qualify. or better. Beyer #s and recent success, have become so over used that prices have become surpressed over the last few decades. type of race generally puts an emphasis on late speed in a race. Results: There were 64 double-digit winners during this one week's span at these tracks. It really is that simply. Two of which Horses dropping in class at today's races. $2 Return (ROI): $1.51 ( -24.53%) Notice that the win rate stayed about the same, but the $2 net return actually decreased. Here is the full list of racehorses who are running today and have been Dropped in Class. determine if a favorite is vulnerable. You can do extensive research, and compile the data that will allow you to delineate claiming ladders, and categories using average pace ratings or pars. All Rights Reserved. e) Low-priced claiming levels ($5000 or less) with restrictions such as non-winners of a a) Raced with 17 days Raw FCP% You can also view tables for horses that have the highest earnings, that are changing in class and even a list of all horses carrying a penalty today. class today should be tossed out. Trainer 4. So, as I said, I'm not going to try and solve this class-handicapping puzzle. If the meeting or race is all weather then these horses are having their first run on all weather. Favourite Stats, Trainer All Weather The table below includes all the double-digit winners from straight claiming races of 5 to 9 furlongs at the tracks issued by Horse Racing Gold for the week of June, 9th through June, 13th. Data, 90 Day Tipping Travellers, In Form Trainer Several things would give me pause, starting with the steep drop in class (and purse value) and ending with Tribal Jewels eroding speed rations and subpar recent works, particularly his latest. W-R figures obtained from flat turf and all weather runs. I'll make a few generalized assumptions before showing you some recent figures . At Turfdom, we have come up with a number of proven rules to If they are good players, perhaps they make it to a college team. Stats, All Green And look at what happens when those same horses compete . Thats an amazing statistic with 1 in Kentucky Derby Top 10. Unsound ones with problems do not. US Racing is not a racebook or ADW, and does not accept or place wagers of any I set up British Racecourses with the desire to share my passion for racing with other like-minded people. Stats, One Ride Stats, All Green In horse racing there is a method of grouping horses by their talent level. Class drops are most frequently noted in claiming races. Gem Song Minimum of 10 runs to qualify. Stats, Trainer Flat Why Should You Look at Horses Who are Dropped in Class. Today : Tomorrow: DATE COURSE TIME NO. Some of the information is not stat based but shows essential information such as horses dropping in class, or changes in trainer. The horse dropping in class has long been one of horse racings most reliable betting angles. w/r/c Results. Posted by ginag2 on Jul 24, 2012 in Blog | 7 comments. Joanne & Larry Ross 6100 Aumsville Hwy SE Salem, OR 97317 Home: 503-585-3100 Cell: 503-580-6827 I USE THE MOST MONEY WON [LIFETIME] AS MY BET ON TOP IF MORE THAN ONE CONTENDER OF THIS TYPE. NEWS.. away from the post-time favorite as much as possible. Above Average Edge, Case Studies It could mean that the horse is no longer suitable for racing and its trainer wishes to unload it on some unsuspecting buyer. Sign up to get the latest insights delivered straight to your inbox. Yet favorites do win races, generally NOT LENGTHS UNLESS NEAR 6 1/4L Win Rate: 17.5%. Horse has won at least one race. Stl% If a horse is wearing Blinkers for the first time it may have worn other head gear previously. By assigning a numerical value to a race it allows the you to easily discern the quality of one class of horses from another. Often, a horse will run well when fresh and If a horse is wearing Blinkers for the second time it may have worn other head gear previously. 2nd race off a Layoff Like the advantage a big league baseball team would have over a double-A league team. Arrived at your site by accident and found it one of the most informative and interesting racing sites, well done. If not, you can probably skip this one :-) However, it is about emotions and over-arousal . Fearless Knight: Sunshine Coast Race 4: $1,970,000: 6,567%: 1. Sometimes trainers will try to steal a race by running a horse for a claiming tag that is way lower than what the horse is actually worth. Note that AW will include both Fibresand and Polytrack results. All handicappers that have been in the game for more than a few months know of the class-drop factor. This hidden class drop was obviously missed by the bettors, as Bella Campari was sent to post at odds of 9-1 and won easily! Click here to visit Ignition Casino! We at UK Horse Racing think not. The question will invariably be posed, how do you evaluate a graduate in terms of class. Spd I USE THE 30 DAY RULE OR IGNORE THIS IF PAYOFFS ARE HIGH. The favorite must have at least tactical For it is my opinion that such drops are not as easy toassess as they were in the past. Stats, Tipping Hall of First - this horse handicapping article will not go into depth on the theory of "class" and what it is, or how to define it. I used to call it the second drop. Many shrewd betting experts study the trainers and horses covering the longest distance to the racecourse today. Trying a New Distance or Surface Today today and looks too good to be true, it probably is. You should look out for a horse who has been dropped in class as it means that they will invariably be contesting against weaker horses. Many angles (I.e.) Do you have stats such as % of top weight winners in handicaps & nurserys? Rating HERES HOW IT GOES ;; Jockey, Horse Stats By Race fail in any one area, toss them out. Stats, Jockey National Hunt Any horse that drops suspiciously in. Betting Gods might be something worth checking out, 2013 - 2023 out of that horse and cant recover in 30 days or less. With so many different levels at different tracks its often challenging to determine if a horse is moving up in class or down in class in todays race and by how much. My question is simple.Does Flatstats display the number of wins each trainer has achieved at every course in UK together with percentage wins at each course.? Click here to visit Cafe Casino! The first race back has already taken too much Jump Our statistics for horse races are updated regularly and pull in all the racehorses who are dropped in class. someplace i long for a 6 or 8 for w.o. In this instance an 'x' is listed next to the item worn. With this simplified class rating system you will now clearly understand if a move up or drop in class for a horse in today's race is a big jump and how that compares to other horses in the field allowing you to you quickly and easily determine if the horse is a contender at today's race class level. Notice that the win rate stayed about the same, but the $2 net return actually decreased. 3. 7. ALSO THERE WAS NO DATE RULE TO THIS SYSTEM SO YOU CAN MAYBE FACTOR THAN IN OR NOT. WtD Todays Racing Digest race sheets makes handicapping class easy by using a simple number system assigned to a certain type of race that represents its position relative to other races. All major credit cards are accepted & Bitcoin. Maidens typically improve in its second life time start. So, I wonder if there are possible angles in a horses 2nd and 3rd attempts after some other event, such as a claim. That is worse than the 80% of people that fail at , By Ed McNamara Classic Causeway bolted to the lead out of the gate, and before the 8-5 favorite reached the turn, he had company on , By Richard Rosenblatt If at first you do succeed, you might as well try to do it again. If today's race is on turf then only the jockey and trainer combination turf stats are shown. BasicsThe FlatStats Daily Stats page shows a selection of stats for today's racing. That was 18 races at 4 tracks. Changers, Good Performers Last Betting class will also help you to eliminate horses from contention. If a horse has been struggling at a certain claiming level, the trainer and owner may wish to drop to a lower price. . Zozos will be their first Kentucky Derby entry after . Flat Runs will then indicate how many runs they had on flat turf. The times to play these horses are when the odds are acceptable to offset the risk 35 of them were won by class droppers (by the simple definition given earlier) = 54.7% 18 were won by horses staying at the same class level = 28.1% Only 7 were won by horses rising in class = 10.9% Trainer, Course Stats By Changers, Good Performers Last Wt It just goes to show that there are YOU MAY EVEN SEE A HORSE THAT WON ITS LAST AND RIDER IS NOT ON TODAY WHEN RIDER HAS BEEN OFF OF TWO OR THREE OTHER HORSES LIMIT JOCK ON HORSES OF LAST THREE OR FOUR RACES ONLY. As the Founder of British Racecourses, I have a life-long passion for horse racing and have loved the sport as long as I can remember. A horse is moving down in class (or dropping) in reverse circumstances, such as allowance to claiming or graded to restricted stakes. Jockey, Jockey All Weather So the question is when do you know when that favorite is going to win? Stats, Longest Back to racing; consider the Derby the in 2004. Stats, Trainer National Hunt website is for entertainment purposes only. Usually, whatever malady sent it to the sidelines has been corrected Your email address will not be published. 33.33%. strictly prohibited. U.S. Koulds Scoring Lst Advertising on UK Horse Racing. Stats, Trainer The reason for that is that these horses are competing with weaker horses (even though in a handicap race they may have to carry more weight). The only way to make money at the racetrack is to think and act differently than your Theoretically, it will now be facing horses closer to its own skill level. How to Figure Horses Dropping in Class After Being Claimed Recently, on the " Homeless Handicappers " Facebook page, a member asked about a horse named Tribal Jewel, who had been claimed for $16,000 at Del Mar on Nov. 25 and was subsequently entered for an $8,000 tag at Santa Anita on Jan. 6. 50% free bets up to $250 5% cash back. type. Saddled by a Losing Trainer Note that 3 of the races were won by horses staying at the same level as previous race, so then - only 4 races were won by horses going up in class - that's just 22 %. Cards, Search To find out more about horse racing stats such as: number of winners, strike rates, and profit please read our Horse Racing Stats Guide. Once we find such a favorite, this is the type of race we For Latest News Visit Our Facebook . Ratings, Course Stats By Allowing for the draw bias, visualise the running of the race. If they plan two races of two similar classes both for horses raced 70-120, say, and in one race horses with the Official Rating of 70 turn up and in the other only horses rated 120 start, would it be fair to say that these two races are of the same class? . The game revolves around money in every regard. The desire to run and compete is inherent but it is not always enough. Table ranked by earnings per start. Simply put, good trainers win races, bad ones dont. "Blindingly Obvious", Sire & Dam Stats So, comes the night of the party and there`s us and, again, the only two which turn up are Michelle and Catherine. Breaking news, expert analysis and handicapping reports to help you win at the track. There are some positive things to look for as well. Key, Past Winners Favourite Stats, BetTurtle Jockey Stats, Trainer "What do you guys and gals do when you see this?" ALSO I TEND ELIMINATE A HORSE WHO QUIT EVERY RACE IN THE FORM PLUS A VERY BAD POST OUTSIDE. HORSE ODDS POS CHANGE STATS TRAINER JOCKEY OR FM SP F A C V M PICK; 7 Feb 2023: MARKET RASEN: 1:45: 2: CEDAR ROW 100: You can use these advanced figures to determine if a stat has a sufficient sample and is reliable. and is ready to compete. Changers, Distance The data in the table is a powerful resource which demonstrates how much a horse is rising or dropping in class from its last race. 6. Only horses with at least 10 runs included. Any use of this information in violation of federal, state, provincial or local laws is either of its last two races is a vulnerable favorite. Age We are a team of passionate racing enthusiasts and IT experts with a belief that studying horse racing form is too hard and time consuming for most people. As a whole, horses that were claimed in their last race, performed as follows: Number: 16,671 Winners: 2,777 Win Rate: 16.7% $2 Return (ROI): $1.59 (-20.57%). Basic will show standard stats figures such as wins, runs, strike rate, A/E and profit. ; Click the Horse filter button. The Digests RCL is an initialism for Race Competition Level, which is simply a number assigned to a certain type of race that represents its position relative to other races. Horses rarely win from the back of the pack. Winners: 1,815. This is why one can get the interesting situation of a horse running in Class C race and is dropping is class from the Class D race last week. Handicapped, Class Finding that vulnerable Take a peek at the digits on horses that finished in the money (third or better) and were claimed in their last race: Number: 10,350 Winners: 1,815 Win Rate: 17.5% $2 Return (ROI): $1.51 (-24.53%). I hope, though, that the results will re-enforce in your mind one of the over-riding facts of handicapping and betting horse races: Horses dropping in class win far more than they should. There have been numerous good horse handicapping writers that have proposed various theories and ideas on this question. As stated earlier, at some tracks there are - rather than distinct class levels - class groupings. 8 In horse racing these skill levels are known as class. If a horse is dramatically dropping in class coming off a layoff. 33% of the time. Your email address will not be published. TrForm Frm Code, Trainer Horse Take action today, and your horse handicapping, and horse racing betting will make a huge leap into the profit zone. ALSO THE RATE OF WINS IS ONLY 16%, BUT THE AVERAGE PRICE PAYOFF IS ABOUT $11.60 AND AVERAGE LENGTHS IMPROVEMNET WAS 6 1/4 . You Bet, you WIN, you GET paid. View stats tables for today's horse racing meetings at Lingfield and Wolverhampton. Your email address will not be published. Suspicious Drop in Class today. Very informative from all of you folks, but I wouldnt expect much less from the people Gary keeps company with. Many punters like to follow and bet on horses who have been dropped in class. However; after 26 years in the game, I've concluded one thing: Race betting can be a whole lot simpler than some "experts" try to make it out to be. Unlike horses that werent claimed last out, good form is not necessarily a positive for runners sporting a new owner. Runs But actually its the second attempt at the same class after previously dropping. With the Sample / ConfidenceIf advanced info is selected you can filter out stats with either low sample sizes or low statistical relevance. Each stat is displayed in a table and shows the name, profit, or ROI% of the stat. "Horses dropping by 30% or more win 378% of their rightful share of races!". 9 Interestingly, Bella was claimed in this race as well and, on Nov. 15, 2016, competed in a $10,000 claiming affair for a $30,000 purse. Stats, Tipping Hall of In claiming races, it's quite simple to determine if a horse is going up or down in class. Please confirm Only horses who have earned win or place prize money on this surface included. Dropping a class is much better for your GPA than failing a class or getting a C or D in it is because a dropped class does not affect your grade point average. Alternatively, you can read the Bovada Racebook review first. A horse making it's first ever race course debut will have Flat Runs of 0. Not surprisingly, Tribal Jewel finished a well-beaten sixth as the 8-5 favorite. Cls Welcomes global players. In pari-mutuel wagering, your competitor is the person sitting next to you. Youll receive free past performances, a nice bonus, and more when you sign up today! Remember, should it d) First condition allowance races where all the horses have showed they can not win at Period. Runners, One Runner SO I DOUBLE UP ON THIS PRICE IF AVAILABLE AT POST TIME OR IF THE MORNING LINE WAS ABOUT 9/2 AND THE POST IS NOT THE FAR OUTSIDE. Race Information What do you guys and gals do when you see this? The member asked. ), A Grade I race for older males has an RCL of 210, with Grade II older males receiving a 205. The same principle holds true in horse racing. must be 5/8 or more. Heres an example. been proven, year after year that favorites lose 67% of the time. Stats, Trainer National Hunt The search page will return all matches from our racing database (trainers, jockeys, sires), postings in our forum, and racing articles in our blog, Enter your FlatStats Subscriber details in order to access the site. Favourite Stats, Trainer National Hunt In other words, at some tracks - moving around in a group of class levels can be relatively easy while at other tracks jumping up from one of these same levels to the next higher might be very tough. So, would you say that that race had the same class or lower than other years? IT PAID $96.00 AND ANOTHER I REMEMBER FOR $76.00 BUT THE AVERAGE IS But, like I said, I dont have any statistical evidence that its worthwhile. WinF Ideally you should always use the strong, or at the very least the medium setting but setting these filters will greatly reduce the stats that are displayed on the page. The exception to this rule is turf routes. This time or speed doesn.t matter may the horse be with vince the prince does anybody ever hear of ben gateman write systems for g.e. Knowing about Street Shark's performance exiting the July 23 race, I could not possibly understand why the horse that beat him was suddenly be dropped in class. Musselburgh 13:50. Runners, Available Data -. Handicapping class levels in horse racing can be difficult for many horse players. Class Changers. No Speed Using the horses form string determine which horses perform well given the conditions of today's race. Horses running for the same or higher tag as last time (when they were claimed) that are running for a lesser purse today outperform recent claims as a whole. The new numbers classification is less informative as it only has 7 classes. HCP% Any horse trying a new distance today sprint-to-route or vice versa is a risky Below areraces fromthis past Sunday, July 22. the wagering regulations in your jurisdiction as they vary from state to state, province to province and JOCKEY CHANGE DROPPING MUST BE A SUPERIOR JOCK OR BUG BOY WITH WEIGHT OFF.. LITTLE REGARDED IS WHEN BARN/JOCK MAKE CHOICE OF THIS HORSE I. E. RATHER THAN OTHER HIDES JOCK HAS BEEN ON IN LAST THREE OR FOUR RACES JOCK MAY HAVE BEEN RIDING THREE OTHER HORSES IN THIS RACE BUT HAS MADE CHOICE OF TODAYS MOUNT WATCH THESE AND WATCH YOUR PROFITS GROW!!!! So - when you see a low-odds horse that has become the crowd favorite because of a last-race win or second at lower levels - don't be reticent about betting against it if there are other hard-knocking class droppers in the race. Which is the Royal Racecourse: Ascot, Newmarket, York ? This is called the ]]IN THE LAST RACE ARE CLOSER TO THE WINNER THEN THE 2CD LAST RACE BACKITS A CONTENDER . Today's False favorites abound in chaotic races. I am also a keen racehorse owner and have worked in the gambling industry for several years. For the purposes of handicapping, give this horse a class value of $10,000. Runners, Shrewd Trainer Results: There were 64 double-digit winners during this one week's span at these tracks. If a horse that has been competing in higher valued races drops to this level, use caution. Healthy horses work out and race. If you have a horse who drops, you'll know what I'm talking about! Never take a short price on an Graduates have just one win on their past performances and there is usually not much data to evaluate. If they plan two races of two similar classes both for horses raced 70-120, say, and in one race horses with the Official Rating of 70 turn up and in the other only horses rated 120 start, would it be fair to say that these two races are of the same class? The term is defined as: 3. With claiming races, its not always about identifying the best horse (actually, thats rarely true of any race the odds always matter but you get the picture). So, from this we can go to another `A` event and then say whether this particular event was better, poorer or the same as another `A` event. he or she becomes a vulnerable favorite. The trainer decides that a class drop is in order and enters the horse in a $10,000 race. . A horse is said to be moving up in class (or jumping) when it moves from one set of race conditions to another, such as from maiden special to allowance, or from a claiming race for $25,000 to one for $35,000. I consider races where a horse is being protected to usually contain a "classier" field than races where they are not protected. This is extremely good handicapping information to have at 2] IF THE LENGTHS AT THE FINISH!!! Horses Dropped in Class Tomorrow We at UK Horse Racing think not. Easy to deposit & Withdraw. "Class drops" (any drop in claiming price or drop from a "protected" race into an open race) will be shown in gold - class jumps in blue. However, if its first race back has been stressful (dueled with Therefore, horses in a $10,000 claiming race can be bought by anyone with an owners license and $10,000. Sample Ratings b) Open claiming races where no entry in the field has ever won for this claiming price Say you're looking at a $30K open claiming race: It might include a last-out maiden special winner, or a runner from an optional claimer, a restricted claimer, a starter handicap, an allowance race - or, God forbid, all of the above! The Accuracy Travellers, In Form Trainer Analysing huge priced winners tipped on FlatStats, Mark Johston out of form going into Glorious Goodwood, Draw Bias for the major Group 1 races at Epsom, Racing Data Charts - Avg SP of Group Favourites, Trainer, Owner, Sire, Jockey Stats for York Racecourse, Horse Racing Stats for 4th Mar 2023 - All Meetings. CPos . Whether it be from DSLD/ESPA or injury, these techniques presented will make your horse more comfortable and happy. The horse dropping in class has long been one of horse racing's most reliable betting angles. If you, like us, believe that the class of the event is determined by the main attendees then the class is the same. Horse Handicapping: Finding and Betting Class Drops. Stats, One Ride Stats for combination runs. Heres an example of how a class drop in claiming races works. Horse I do not see this in the daily stats info, i have used this site for my personal weekly 25-1000 place bet challenges and i have made a lot of money using this site so far..wish i saw this site last year :). Copyright 2023 British Racecourses - is intended for the sole use of the individuals over 18 years of age. One who wins 8% of their starts or less within the last year defines a losing trainer. Minimum of 5 runs to qualify. Copyright 2023 US Racing, All Rights Reserved. Movers, 1st Time If the trainer doesn't have enough confidence in the horse to keep trying at the higher level races pay . The horse has been doing well. Table ranked by win strike rate. Wins at the course (all weather track). Throw in a Movers, 1st Time How often does the 3rd fav win over all races flat and national hunt. This can be risky. Today : Tomorrow: DATE COURSE TIME NO. Suspicious Drop in Class today etc..). Also, everyone knows to pay attention to a horse making its 2nd, 3rd, or 4th attempt following a layoff. Another option: Try BETUS! Change in class is based on the old race letter classification where there are 11 classes. Bovada is our favorite pick for USA Bettors! Here are all the articles related to horse racing stats for the UK and Irish races. representation or endorsement of any activities offered by any reviewed racebook or ADW. 9. 1. Take a peek at the digits on horses that finished in the money (third or better) and were claimed in their last race: Number: 10,350. Within each of these categories are also many levels. Login; Register; Help; HOME RACES Today's . If you're handicapping for "price horses" - class droppers should be given extra consideration. this level. Note that 3 of the races were won by horses staying at the same level as previous race, so then only 4 races were won by horses going up in class thats just 22 %. Stats, Jockey Flat Course Stats, Latest c) Any race in which none of the participating horses can run to par for that given By developing products like BetTurtle, our goal is to make horse racing more rewarding for our customers. Your email address will not be published. Has the party dropped in class or has it stayed the same? Now of course, there are almost always more than one class dropper in a race, so this factor wont just give you the winner, but it will sure help you to focus on the most likely contenders in these claiming type races. Only horses with at least 5 runs included. Advanced will also show Expected Wins (SRI) and Archie (chi-squared) statistical figures. What is total aggregate distances at Lingfield today? Ill comment by saying that it is astounding that you can still get good prices on droppers. Legitimate favorites win races Just because they have an idea of the type of class of race it doesn't mean for a moment that is what they are going to get. He is listed as xB. In this guide we look at horses who have been dropped in class, this means they are running against weaker horses than in their last race. Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. He is listed as xB. No jumps or overseas figures used. For the most part, each class receives a number that remains constant. The line maker, employed by the track, is a savvy These are the types of races where the class levels are most obvious (though not always so when considering the restrictions involved in some claiming races) as opposed to some of the other categories of races. favorite is the challenge in this game. Theres problems with this horse and we want to get rid of it (even so often while also trying to grab one last purse). Absolutely amazing site, only wish I could afford the full subscription.