I like him to contend, and this number is probably higher than it should be with Schefflers recent win and the win here last year. WMPO: Sungjae Im. The weird extended weekend at Pebble Beach has concluded with Justin Rose as the champion not great for our PGA Tour expert picks and read on the tournament but now we move on to golfs party in the desert as we deliver WM Phoenix Open picks and best bets. The two time major winner . With the importance of those skills at Riviera, it should be little surprise that he has missed the cut in all three trips to this event. A compact and shrewd design by George C. Thomas Jr. and associate William P. Bell, Riviera features everything from a long Redan par 3 to a bunker in the middle of a green to an alternate-fairway par 4. BATON ROUGE - LSU won its fourth tournament of the 2022-23 women's golf wraparound season on Wednesday, winning against the toughest field of the year at the Darius Rucker Intercollegiate at the Long Cove Club at Hilton Head Island, South Carolina. If you thought last weeks elevated event was big, itll be basically the same field at a major-championship caliber golf course, all while injecting Tiger Woods into the field! According to fellow tour pro Xander Schauffele, yes, he most certainly does. Your favorite teams, topics, and players all on your favorite mobile devices. Most essential will be navigating the renovated greens and the surrounds, which will be treacherous to recover from. With the U.S. Open awarded to nearby LA Country Club for 2023, it doesnt appear Riviera will get another Open (though it will host the 2028 Olympics). Thats going to be half the battle at Southern Hills and should allow Mitchell to often play from the correct position. I expect the Japanese superstar to remind us that he is still a top-20 player in the world and have a great chance to pick up PGA Tour victory No. The MC at Riviera was mainly due to his short game. I always thought the wrap-around-a-lake par-5 sixth was Dick Wilson's version of Robert Trent Jones's decade-older 13th at The Dunes Club at Myrtle Beach. We provide comprehensive form guides, as well as news and links to the appropriate betting markets for PGA picks, to help you make informed golf bets. High Upside: Kevin Na ($6,900 DraftKings | $8,200 FanDuel). Zozo: Hideki Matsuyama. A significant restoration by Gil Hanse and his team a few years ago has restored fairway widths, so finding fairways wont be as essential. Hes the only golfer in the $7,000 tier who is gaining more than 1.5 strokes per round over the last 30and hes gaining in every category. But its easy to see why we all like Z this week. Here are my favorite plays and fades this week at the 2022 PGA Championship. 48,000. Thats something Niemann thrived with during his win at Riviera earlier this year. Shriners: Taylor Montgomery. Lee (-110) over Kuchar); Powers: 1 for 1 (Griffin (+100) over C. Davis); Gdula: 0 for 1; Hennessey: 0 for 1; Lack: 0 for 1, Matchup Results from this season (Wins-Losses-Pushes): Hennessey: 11-6-0 (up 4.1 units); Gehman: 10-5-2 (up 3.92 units); Powers: 9-8-0 (up 0.63 units); Lack: 4-4-0 (down 0.3 units); Mayo: 8-8-0 (down 0.51 units); Caddie: 8-9-0 (down 1.16 units); Gdula: 5-11-1 (down 6.42 units), RELATED: Here are the odds for every player in the field at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Your sportsbooks per-place payout will vary from one book to another, so be careful to compare them before placing an each-way bet. Powers, Golf Digest: Shane Lowry (65-1, FanDuel) Last week he was the toast of the town as the second favorite, and he wound up finishing top five. In the last four events hes played in, hes made the cut. Past results: Ladies and gentlemen, we are officially heating up. Note:All odds are courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook. As the Florida swing continues, the PGA Tour heads to Bay Hill Club and Lodge in Orlando for the Arnold Palmer Invitational, the third designated event in four weeks. how much money or how much time. Rick Gehman, data scientist and RickRunGood.com founder: Will Zalatoris (22-1, DraftKings) For the first time this year, Zalatoris looks like himself again. I believe there are two legitimate paths to victory at Southern Hillselite approach play or elite around-the-green ability. Listen to Golf Digest's weekly betting podcast, "Be Right," where we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make your bets and pick your fantasy lineups. Over the last five tournaments, he has averaged a score of -8. Tournament futures are the most popular since even the best players have favorable golf betting odds for punters. Mandatory Credit: Allan Henry-USA TODAY Sports. Follow him on Twitter: @RickRunGood. His advanced metrics show a well-rounded golfer who can compete in strong fields. He's got 18.78 percent of the vote, followed by Will Zalatoris (15.66 percent) and Shane Lowry (15.46 percent). Of the 13 golfers priced in the $9,000 range or higher, Koepka has the second-worst SG/approach over the past 24 rounds, and he has the fourth-worst SG/around the green mark. Bay Hill Club and Lodge will once again host this great event, which will begin on Thursday morning. The PGA Tour will wrap up its 2021-22 season this week with the 2022 Tour Championship at East Lake Golf Club in Atlanta, Ga. It's the final leg of the FedExCup Playoffs with just 30 players. Lack: Rory McIlroy (+110) over Jon Rahm (PointsBet) This matchup will be extremely fun to track, as I believe Rory McIlroy and Jon Rahm have emerged as far and away the two best players in the world. Course Fit ( compares golf courses based on the degree to which different golfer attributes such as driving distance to predict who performs well at each course - DataGolf): 1. Matsuyama has battled injury this year, but when hes played he has played well. There are several propositional bets available in addition to the more traditional bets that may be found for every tournament. Its often forgotten that design contribution extended all the way to Australia, where Arnold Palmer in his playing days won an Australian Open and Wills Masters title. Sam Ryder ($6,700 DraftKings | $8,400 FanDuel). The faster the greens and harder the course the better chance Zalatoris has of victory. Hes clearly building toward a win with three top-six finishes in four starts in 2023, and if his short game continues to look like it did at the Genesis, that win is coming very soon. 2023 Fantasy Golf Rankings, News and Draft Kit DraftKings PGA: Arnold Palmer Invitational Picks and Strategy Rory McIlroy has quite the track record at Bay Hill, and that garners him a spot among Len Hochberg's picks to click in this week's contests on DraftKings. Everything that we just said about Schauffele applies here. The rating, however, was a 0.23 because Golf Channel is in fewer homes than the CW Network. RELATED: PGA Championship picks 2022: Our experts debate Viktor Hovland's chances. Cameron Young ($8,800 DraftKings | $10,400 FanDuel). Weve been on a heater in the matchup and top-10 markets, going up more than 27 units this season. From Golf Digest Architecture Editor emeritus Ron Whitten: I've always been fascinated by the design of Bay Hill, Arnold Palmer's home course for over 45 years (although Tiger Woods owns it, competitively-speaking, as he's won there eight times.) All betting content is intended for an audience ages 21+. Hes just six starts removed from gaining nearly six strokes to the field on approach in Houston, and if he has anywhere close to that result with his elite off-the-tee game, plus his prowess on grainy Bermuda greens, he can absolutely follow Chris Kirk as back-to-back Georgia Bulldog victories. Listen to Golf Digest's weekly betting podcast, "The Loop" (above), where we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make your bets and pick your fantasy lineups. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Rory McIlroy (+110) over Jon Rahm (PointsBet) Rorys strokes-gained numbers at Bay Hill are insanehes gained nearly 75 strokes to the field in his eight appearances here. Win. Follow him on Twitter: @adplacksports. The Field The Valspar Championship returns to its regular March date in 2022, a year after being played last season in May. He hasnt won on American soil since the 2015 WGC-Bridgestone Invitational. This new column, branched off from Horses For Courses, will focus on the statistical background of the PGA picks. With so many rounds in a tournament, there are numerous ways to place a wager. Vegas has played well in 2023, earning a T-23 in Phoenix and T-25 in La Jolla. Anonymous Caddie Picker of the week: Rory McIlroy (10-1, BetMGM) Im not sure how we ended up here after his insane 2022, but at the end of February Rorys already the forgotten man. RSM Classic: Davis Riley. He is statistically among the top 15 golfers in terms of strokes gained on, off, and tee-to-green gains (seventeenth-best) due to his high percentage of green-in-regulation hits (69.83 percent). Pick To Win: Joaquin Niemann ($8,500 DraftKings | $10,200 FanDuel). The path to the top of the leaderboard for him is very narrow. Powers, Golf Digest: Chris Kirk (+600, DraftKings) Coming off his first win in eight years, Kirks confidence should be riding high. Additionally, Youngs short game has been in the toilet since the calendar flipped to 2023. Hes trending toward another victory. RSM Classic: Brian Harman. Adrian Meronk ($6,900 DraftKings | $8,500 FanDuel). For every tournament, bettors can place a slew of prop bets on everything. When it comes to attacking the Sedgefield CC course, the South Korean has the ideal skill set, as he frequently splits fairways and ignites his scoring clubs. One of McClure's favorite prop bet picks this week at the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 is veteran Jason Day to finish in the top-20 of the final leaderboard at +125 odds (risk $100 to win $125). Though still volatile, hes starting to get a hair more consistentposting three top-five finishes in his past eight starts. Even the best golfers in the world, such as Jon Rahm and Justin Thomas, could be considered underdogs for the most prestigious tournaments. A top-five finish for Zalatoris would be his second in his last five starts. betting. World Golf Rankings 2022 The American Express odds, field: Surprising PGA picks, predictions from model that's called 7 majors SportsLine's proven model simulated The American Express 2022. AT&T Pebble Beach: Maverick McNealy. Hes proving to be a force on world-class golf courses, and hes in the best stretch of golf of his career. Editor's Note: The following is an official press release courtesy of LSU's athletics department. But given how well hes played in 2022 from the tee to the green, a putter that works for him might be able to change that. Due to the big field sizes and the four-day format, many longshots win or come close to victory on the tour. Weve been tracking Thomas for weeks, and he seemed poised for an upturn. Youll likely know pretty quickly with Kim, either hes making everything or nothing. Its worth noting that Day has played more rounds than both of those guys. Hopefully its one of his hot weeks. Reason to pick: We hate picking a guy with single-digit odds, but he . Byeong Hun An (+550 = Top 20) After slotting at No. Read more about Gambling Safety here. It has a variety of futures, as well. Zalatoris has spoken only about the fact that his favorite style of golf is U.S. Open conditions, and with rock-hard greens and extremely thick rough, Bay Hill is about as close to a U.S.-Open-like setup well see all season. The 28-year-old has his eye on No. Hes been electric at Bay Hill, teeing it up 11 times. World No. GOLF DIGEST MAY EARN A PORTION OF SALES FROM PRODUCTS THAT ARE PURCHASED THROUGH OUR SITE AS PART OF OUR AFFILIATE PARTNERSHIPS WITH RETAILERS. Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 props, odds, field: Expert head-to-head golf matchup picks, PGA best bets. Genesis: Justin Thomas. The golf picks team has researched the odds board with sportsbooks like FanDuel golf odds and listed its top Wyndham Championship golf picks above. Sanderson Farms Championship: Sam Burns. Gdula: Keegan Bradley (75-1, FanDuel) Bradleys number on FanDuel Sportsbook is a lot longer than youll see in other places. Check out some of the best photos from the week at The King's. DraftKings Sportsbook and FanDuel Sportsbook are two of the most popular apps for online sports betting in states that allow PGA expert picks to sleepers. follow. Jon Rahm and Rory McIlroy to finish Top 10 Parlay (+300). You can almost always place a wager on the tournaments winner at a sportsbook. Mitchells ball-striking should put him in the mix here, and I love the Bermuda putting splits. But one of the best things to come from the week at Riviera was a viral video that showed a 9-year-old heart transplant recipient, Madelyn Quinn, holding a poster behind the 17th hole, . Fitzpatrick just keeps chugging along, piling up top 20s no matter where he plays. Golf betting online is readily available at most online sportsbooks for all of the PGA Tour tournaments throughout the season. All of the major golf tournaments, as well as additional significant PGA and European Tour events, are covered by us. The result marks Kirk's third top-three finish to begin the 2023 season. Scroll down to see who we like this week at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Niemann has every shot in his repertoire, which will certainly be required around Southern Hills. 2023 Puerto Rico Open odds, field. Gdula: Max Homa (20-1, FanDuel) I hate rooting against Max, but his odds are to the point where hes shorter than a lot of names Id rather take. Previously, rough surrounded most greensso you faced a straightforward pitch around the greens. Adding to . When comparing price and skill-set to his peers, hes the odd man out. Bay Hill Club & Lodge will be. RELATED:How Tiger Woods could make a huge jump in the Official World Golf Ranking this week, Jhonattan Vegas ($6,900 DraftKings | $8,600 FanDuel). The 4th elevated event on the PGA Tour schedule takes place this week with the star-studded 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Hes a major champion, a WGC winner (remember those?) He ranks third over the past 32 rounds in Strokes Gained: Approach and has continued to trend up. Listed at +100 apiece to finish Top 10, Im getting aggressive and parlaying them to both finish Top 10 this week. World No. Dont gamble unless you know the facts. The Grant Thornton Invitational (Dec. 4-10) will team 16 PGA . But before we get there, we have to take an unfortunate look back at our picks and best bets from last week. Something clearly clicked for him at Riviera, and this is the number to cash in on. AT&T Pebble Beach: Seamus Power. In general, we provide our Free sports picks today on time, giving you plenty of time to digest our research and get the best golf odds on our PGA picks this week. He enters the competition ranked 27th in the FedEx Cup standings (seventh among players who have never won). Everything with his game is clicking right now. Its a 30-player event with a guaranteed minimum prize pool of $395,000 for the winner. He might have the most underrated short game on tour, and hes no stranger to playing well at Rivieraearning three top 10s in his past five trips. However, over his last 20 rounds, hes losing 0.28 strokes per round, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. Caddie: Cameron Young (+360, DraftKings) As I said above, the course fits what he does well, and these are nice odds for someone who top-10s it a bunch (not this year, which is why its nearly 4-to-1. Take a look at some of the most common kinds of golf wagers found in sportsbooks. During that stretch, hes also gaining 0.22 strokes per round around the green, the fifth-best rate of anyone $9,000 or more. It . Humbug. Its a good idea to look for a player who has recently performed well or has a good record on the course in question. Every week, our golf betting experts and tipsters evaluate the PGA picks this week to determine which players are good value choices to perform well. Chris Kirk captured his first PGA Tour title since 2015, outlasting 34-year-old rookie Eric Cole in a sudden-death playoff. Honda: Chris Kirk. By cutting the cut. Lack: Hideki Matsuyama (66-1, BetMGM) This is a pure number play for me, as in my opinion, Hideki Matsuyama is a bonafide top-20 player in the world, despite the betting markets not treating him like one. Responsible Gambling You must be of legal age in the state where you are betting on golf. Bermuda: Russell Knox. Poston (+8500). Sony Open: Gary Woodland. Aside from the experts below, Fantasy Insider Rob Bolton breaks down the field at this year's . Already one of the most prestigious events on the schedule, the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational gets official "elevated status" and a $20 million purse. Price range: $9,000 and above High Upside: Patrick Cantlay ($9,100 DraftKings | $11,200 FanDuel) Cantlay hasn't. "This is a game of misses. The PGA picks this week present a good opportunity for Lowry to take advantage of his strong golf because there are fewer competitors. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Jon Rahm (+650, DraftKings) Can you stop taking the fun out of outright golf betting, Jon Rahm? Now, run-offs will propel missed approaches down embankmentswhich will really test recovery shots. At one point in the spring, Lowry displayed some of the best golf of his career at one point, and victory seemed to be within reach. Gdula: Sungjae Im (-108) over Tyrrell Hatton (FanDuel) Both have played well at Bay Hill, and the long-term tee-to-green data favors Im, so thats where Im going. USE OF AND/OR REGISTRATION ON ANY PORTION OF THIS SITE CONSTITUTES ACCEPTANCE OF OURVISITOR AGREEMENT(UPDATED 1/6/23),PRIVACY AND COOKIES NOTICE(UPDATED 1/4/23) ANDCALIFORNIA PRIVACY NOTICE. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Keegan Bradley (+650, Bet365) Keegan hasnt missed a cut at Bay Hill in his 10 most recent appearances at Bay Hill, which includes four finishes of 11th or better. He held the lead at this event in 2021 heading into the back nine on Sunday. We have a Privacy Policy and Cookie Policy. Hes dropped strokes to the field driving and on approach in consecutive events for the first time since earning his full tour card, but the long irons have continued to be much better than the field, and while distance is always going to be lacking, his accuracy continues to be elite. Tiger Woods' first appearance in a regular PGA Tour event in nearly 850 days was eventful for a number of reasons. Zozo: Hideki Matsuyama. Vegas struggles around-the-greens, and hes dismal once he gets on the putting surfaces. The 2021 Valspar Championship field includes past winners of this event who are fetching long odds this week, such as Kevin Streelman (66-1), Gary Woodland (70-1), Charl Schwartzel (100-1) and. You can bet on the outright winner. While the first playoff event is typically reserved for the top. For our complete review, visit Bay Hill's Places to Play page here. and he won the 2022 BMW PGA Championship over Rory McIlroy and Jon Rahm, who both happen to be in the field this week. Sahith Theegala ($7,800 DraftKings | $9,600 FanDuel). Hennessey: Keith Mitchell This is a bolder call, but I can afford to be a little bold after getting a win from Chris Kirk last week. McClure's optimal PGA DFS strategy also includes rostering Max Homa at $9,700 on DraftKings and $11,600 on FanDuel. Last week Young showcased real capabilities of attacking high-danger pin locations. Online Gambling Golf PGA Picks This Week 2023: PGA Tour Expert Picks and Best Bets. The 2022 FedEx Cup Playoffs continue this week with the BMW Championship at Wilmington Country Club in Delaware . Since its opening in March 1993, the golf course at Links Hope Island has regularly featured among the leading courses in Australia. You can use our analyses of our PGA expert picks to create your own selections based on your own evaluations of our PGA picks this week. Houston Open: Aaron Wise. Over his past four seasons, Simpson has never gained less than 1.20 strokes per round for the campaign. betting. Prop bets are wagers that dont necessarily rely on the outcome of a certain game or event. If two golfers are matched up, sportsbooks may make wagers on who will come out on top based on who has the better score. The other criterion is that you must be in a state where sports betting is permitted. As analyzed by our PGA expert picks, Shane Lowry has been one of the most reliable golfers in 2022. Despite the fact that Horschel's results so far in 2023 haven't been promising, we think that's a bet well . Justin Thomas ($10,100 DraftKings | $11,600 FanDuel). Feb 13, 2022; Scottsdale, Arizona, USA; Patrick Cantlay plays hit tee shot on the par 3 16th hole during the final round of the WM Phoenix Open golf tournament. Golf betting record in 2023 through Pebble Beach: 7-17-1, -3.114 units (0-5 on outrights, 0.5 unit bets) One-and-Done record in 2023: $553,137.22 (Matthew Fitzpatrick at Pebble, $0) PGA Tour.