All Rights Reserved. The Honda Classic celebrated its 50th anniversary last year but without a lefty among its list of champions; well, unless you approve Blaine McCallister's putting stroke that set what was then the tournament record of 22-under 266 at TPC Eagle Trace in 1989. Nick Piastowski is a Senior Editor at Golf.com and Golf Magazine. Scenario 1 is the AM wave gets the best weather, particularly the guys going . You can view live odds from the first round through the final round. Jordan Spieth is back to doing Jordan Spieth things, and it feels like this is finally his time to complete the career grand slam. Arnold Palmer Invitational Model Picks: Top 5, Top 10, Top 20, Top 40. Anyone who follows McDonald's advice has been cashing in. Horschel is one of the streakiest players on the PGA Tour, as when hes on top of his game, he can compete with anyone. The Arnold Palmer Invitational, a designated event, is March 2-5. This was a tough card to put together. That said, +5,000 odds for a player six months removed from contending for a PGA three-peat? One and Done Selections - The Arnold Palmer Invitational 2. The $20 million purse has brought out the best, with major champions like Collin Morikawa, Justin Thomas, Jordan Spieth and Matt Fitzpatrick among the many stars. Hes also enjoyed a strong 2023, with two top-20 finishes in his last three events. With windy conditions over the weekend a year ago, Scottie Scheffler won the event at 5-under and only 10 players finished the tournament under par. Where: Arnold Palmer's Bay Hill Club & Lodge, Orlando, Florida. So which 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational players should you target or avoid? You can go down whatever rabbit hole you find and youre unlikely to surface video of a snail taming a bear, much less a story of an encounter. , followed by my betting card for the week. https://t.co/tHKZVsPbbt. Rory McIlroy has the next best odds to win with an 11.11% implied probability. Copyright 2023 PGA TOUR, Inc. All rights reserved. When youre talented, youre talented. McIlroy is coming off a disappointing T-32 finish at the. World No. Performance always is relative, but no one has a better scoring average on the JGTO. Hes a perfect sleeper this week! Another thing to keep in mind is the last six winners of the event all had at least one top-15 finish at a prior Arnold Palmer Invitational. Clark checks off a lot of boxes when it comes to the key metrics for the week, especially around the green, where hes able to scramble well primarily because of his ability to putt well on poa. Hes also 6-for-8 on the PGA TOUR, including a 3-for-4 in the majors. He finished eighth at the Players and T9 at the RBC Heritage, so Im eager to see how his game will play at Kiawah this week. Making the cut in his debut in the U.S. is the proper bet for Kaewkanjana (where you can find it), but with nothing to lose and everything to gain, he could be compelling early and certainly someone on whom to keep an eye moving forward. With narrow fairways, thick rough, firm and fast greens, Bay Hill can be one of the hardest courses of the season if the wind picks up. Sleeper pick: Lee Westwood, +11,000. Sign up for ESPN+ now to catch 12 hours of exclusive coverage of the first and second rounds, early weekend coverage, featured groups and much, much more from the 2021 PGA Championship at Kiawah Island. For a player of his caliber, +8000 is tremendous value. Has the game and mindset to handle whatever Kiawah throws at the players this week. I dont think hes a sleeper, but the odds say he is. It propelled him into the bubble for a special exemption at Southern Hills. This new app will help, Fortinet Championship odds: Two stars lead favorites at PGA Tour season opener, Tour Championship odds: Scottie Scheffler favored to win fifth title of the season, BMW Championship odds: Rory McIlroy still the betting favorite despite missed cut, FedEx St. Jude Championship odds: Rory McIlroy leads betting favorites for playoff opener. By our count, 44 of the world's top-50 players will make the trip to Orlando - including all 13 winners of PGA TOUR events so far this term. He owns two wins and two top 10s in his past four starts on the European Tour, and it wouldnt surprise me in the least if he keeps up his hot streak on U.S. soil. PGA odds are always available at the online sportsbook. So, yeah, that counts, but Higgo stays entirely on that side of the ball. But McDonald knows "inefficiencies in the other aspects of his game" will be tough to overcome at Bay Hill. None of those four players were inside the top 10 of my model, although Fitzpatrick was No. The Phoenix region will be the center of the sports world this week, with the Super Bowl at. , followed by my betting card for the week. Historically, these have been some of the easiest greens of the year to putt on. Kickoff is Saturday at 7 p.m. Its been exactly one year since his last victory and he just turned 26. At 7,466 yards, its a longer course by PGA Tour standards, but a variety of players have been able to win in the past. ET (ESPN3). Bergers best golf has come in the past 12 months. Jon Rahm (+750) has the best odds to win. Sleeper pick: Cameron Tringale, +11,000. High-Priced FanDuel DFS Plays 3. Rob Bolton is a Golfbet columnist for the PGA TOUR. 19+ in Ontario. As good as Morikawa is in so many. Sleeper pick: Garrick Higgo, +14,000. If the wind picks up, the scores wont be as good. Odds were sourced on Tuesday, Feb. 21, 2023. Byron Lindeque - Keegan Bradley 6. That was the first event worldwide since last summer in which the No. Excludes Michigan Disassociated Persons. Going into the tournament, Jon Rahm has the best odds to win at +750. A T21 at home followed two weeks later. ?Thanks for being a @RotoBaller PGA DFS Premium subscriber & checking out all the amazing golf content that @JoeNicely produces every week! To-win: Xander Schauffele, +1,700. The 2019 Open Champion has proven he can compete in windy conditions. section: | slug: 2023-arnold-palmer-invitational-picks-predictions-field-odds-golf-expert-fading-justin-thomas-at-bay-hill | sport: golf | route: article_single.us | You can only see McClure's Honda Classic one and done picks at SportsLine. McDonald takes a measured approach to his outright selections and is having a profitable 2022-23 season. May 25, 2022 9:00 am ET. Keep it social. He is up more than 20 units this season, meaning a profit of over $2,000 for $100 bettors. It includes pre-event rankings, round-specific scoring averages, birdie percentages, weighted approach ratings, and ownership projections for tomorrow's showdown slate. Golf DFS News and Player. Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community! Hes 3-for-3 in 2023 and slots inside the top 25 in both fairways hit and Strokes Gained: Putting, so hes not yet wholly distracted by his duties as the Ryder Cup captain. In four events in the 2023 calendar year, his worst finish is T-16 at the American Express. He's in the top 10 on tour for greens in regulation,. See McDonald's picks, best bets and predictions here. Since 2020, he has 17 top-10 finishes, and 12 of them would be on difficult courses. Not only did he win the 2018 edition, but he has also the most Strokes Gained at the tournament over the last five years at 51.24. AZ, CO, DC, IA, IL, IN, KS, LA, MD, MI, MS, NJ, NV, NY, OH, PA, TN, VA, WA, WV, or WY. Play with trusted, licensed operators. You get 10% off and full access to all of our Premium PGA articles, DFS tools, and Lineup Optimizer! The tournament was already the most electric on the PGA Tour, and that bar will be raised even higher this week with more fans in attendance and it being a. . If you dont pick him to win, be sure to grab him at +450 to top-10. This seems to be a tournament that favors course history more than others. Patrick Cantlayis going to be rather chalky, but his consistency and ability to dominate Par 5s are what will have us eating his chalk. He also has published a golf book, The Ultimate Book of Golf Trivia: 600 Questions and Answers.. McClure is a DFS legend with nearly $2 million in career winnings, and he's been RED-HOT on his PGA picks dating back to the PGA Tour restart in June of 2020. Now, McClure has dialed in on the 2023 Honda Classic golf tournament, and just locked in his one and done picks and PGA predictions. His stats from this season wont jump off the page, but hes played well lately (T28 or better in his past four, including a win) and should have a good chance this week. As a result, players are just as likely to make birdie as they are bogey. Please Gamble Responsibly. Bonus bets expire 7 days from issuance. A T21 at home followed two weeks later. Taking sleeper picks is always a bit risky, but Dahmen should be coming into this week with confidence he can win. 19 Billy Horschel, and No. Rory McIlroy has the next best odds to win with a 9.52% implied probability. We will be looking to take advantage of Sungjae Im tomorrow, alongsideKeagan BradleyandJason Day,who will come in much less owned than the Korean. Expert picks to win and sleepers to watch for the Open Championship . Harman hasnt had much success at Riviera, but if he can figure out the poa greens, he has a solid chance to perform well. That value might just be worth the risk. Homa is becoming one of the best players on Tour; he already has two wins during the 2022-23 season. Making the cut in his debut in the U.S. is the proper bet for Kaewkanjana (where you can find it), but with nothing to lose and everything to gain, he could be compelling early and certainly someone on whom to keep an eye moving forward. Before making any 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks, be sure you check out the PGA Tour predictions and best bets from SportsLine golf insider Patrick McDonald. Notice the amount of green AM tee times. follow. That means the best players in the world will be competing for a $20 million purse. After most of the top players did not play in last weeks Honda Classic, they are back this week for the Arnold Palmer Invitational from Arnold Palmers Bay Hill Club & Lodge just outside Orlando. Collin Morikawa wasnt the only winner at last years PGA Championship. Learn the game and know the odds. He has two top-16 finishes in three events this season. McDonald nailed the Farmers Insurance Open, backing Homa (25-1) as his top choice. He has great course history here which makes a lot of sense in hindsight, but his putter gaining more than 2 strokes in a round, does not make sense. Lines: View all 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational lines. To-win: Viktor Hovland, +2,000. Although hes still on the rise globally, hes no stranger to the brightest lights having made five starts in majors previously. That generated momentum onto the Asian Tour where he picked off a T2 and a T5 before New Years. His third at the RSM Classic, at Sea Island, last fall proved hes comfortable on breezy oceanside courses. The app, which is owned by GOLF.coms parent company, 8AM Golf, is designed to inject the adrenaline of live gambling into a fun, risk-free contest. Hes also gone 10 straight events worldwide without finishing lower than T-8. Lastly, course history plays more of a factor than in most weeks. Tommy Fleetwoodshot level par today, but hopefully, he can bounce back tomorrow after making a triple-bogey in R2. But he still might be the best player in the game. Given that this tournament caters to the top players, my card is much smaller than usual. DFS pro with almost $2M in winnings gives Masters DFS advice for tournaments like the DraftKings Millionaire Maker CBS Sports is a registered trademark of CBS Broadcasting Inc. Commissioner.com is a registered trademark of CBS Interactive Inc. site: media | arena: golf | pageType: stories | an app from our parent company that is available in the App Store and at Google Play, 7 things you MUST know to make money on golf betting, Four experts on how to bet on PGA Tour golf like a professional gambler. By Pat Mayo Jan 23, 2022, 5:58pm PST Share 2021: Patrick Reed -14 2020: Marc Leishman -15 2019: Justin Rose -21 Call 1-800-GAMBLER (DC, IL, LA, MD, MS, NJ, OH, PA, TN, WV, WY, VA), Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO, KS, NV), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-270-7117 for confidential help (MI), Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY). I went back and forth between going all in on Finau or Max Homa but ultimately went with Finau on a coin-flip decision. The top players in my Fantasy National didnt provide much value and/or havent had the best of success at this event. Responsible sports betting starts with a game plan. A proud graduate of the University of Missouri, John's passion is hockey but he excels at multiple DFS sports. As a result, players will not hit as many fairways as they are used to this week, which will place an emphasis on scrambling and avoiding bogeys. One of McClure's favorite prop bet picks this week at the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 is veteran Jason Day to finish in the top-20 of the final leaderboard at +125 odds (risk $100 to win. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook's lines around the St. Francis vs. Fairleigh Dickinson odds, and make our. One shocking pick from McDonald: He is fading Thomas in his first appearance at Bay Hill since 2015. Mega chalk: A popular player who played well yesterday. Hes made nine of 10 cuts at this tournament, including two top 10s. Visit BetMGM.com for Terms and Conditions and other state-specific responsible gaming resources. Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. The 21-year-old lefty is on an absolute heater at the moment, with two wins in his past three European Tour starts. Spencer absolutely crushed it in 2022! Rewards issued as non-withdrawable bonus bets. Tony FinauandWill Zalatorisboth sit a little further down the leaderboard, particularly Will, but both have sensational R3 scoring averages very close to Scottie's, which we are hoping to capitalize on tomorrow. Gambling problem? He won in 2021 and finished in the top 10 two more times in the last three years. The major breakthrough happens this week. The PGA Championship is a completely different beast, but I have a weird feeling hes going to contend in his first major. PGA Championship expert picks to win, sleepers to watch at Kiawah Island By: Nick Piastowski May 18, 2021 Collin Morikawa holds the Wanamaker Trophy after winning last year's PGA. And which golfer in the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 field could bring a massive payday well over 80-1? Does his best work with his putter. Cantlay checks a lot of boxes this week, including losing in a playoff at the event last year to Scottie Scheffler. Highest-Owned Golfers. Sports betting is void in Georgia, Hawaii, and Utah and other states where prohibited. With that being said, he has struggled historically with Bermuda greens. Ian provides analysis and an introductory guide to golf live betting on the PGA Tour by making selections both before and during the 2023 Arnold Palmer . Whether youre betting on designated tournaments, match play events, or majors, theres something for everyone. As for Spieth (43) and Zalatoris (30), they dont rank highly in my model, but +4000 at a major-like event is probably the best value Ill get on either player for the rest of the year. Call 1-800-GAMBLER (DC, IL, LA, MD, MS, NJ, OH, PA, TN, WV, WY, VA), Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO, KS, NV), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-270-7117 for confidential help (MI), Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY). Theres no question Rahm is the hottest player in the field, with. This would suggest course history is more important than most weeks. Shoutout to the entire @RotoBallerPGA squad and all you guys that support my work for all the pic.twitter.com/07a4ynvbSU, Congrats @tenndolly2 ?? Aaron Baddeley intrigues me as his short game is really impressive and a few long puts or chip-ins can grab him a bunch of points. Hes been no worse than T13 in his past four major starts. If you read my articles @RotoBaller or listen to @TheTurnGolfPod Ive been telling yall it was #WinningSeason when golf came back! Let's analyze Tipico. Jon Rahm is predicted to win WM Phoenix Open with an 11.76% implied probability, according to betting markets. It's expected to be another tough test after Scheffler won last year by one stroke at 5-under par. All new sign-ups get a free year of RotoBaller's Premium Pass for all sports ($450 value)! All promotions are subject to eligibility requirements. He finished T-13 in 2021. GOLF.com and GOLF Magazine are published by EB GOLF MEDIA LLC, a division of 8AM GOLF. Rai presents a similar profile in his return trip after a. The Georgia product has shown up a few times at majors in recent years, and with this having a major-like feel, it wouldnt be a surprise to see Harman on the first page of the leaderboard at some point this week. Genesis Invitational Sleepers Wyndham Clark +8000 Odds to Win Clark checks off a lot of boxes when it comes to the key metrics for the week, especially around the green, where he's able to scramble well primarily because of his ability to putt well on poa. With three wins and a runner-up in a span of six weeks late in 2021, he was the Order of Merit leader on the All Thailand Golf Tour. Arnold Palmer Invitational Sleepers Keegan Bradley +6000 Odds to Win Bradley has enjoyed plenty of past success at this event, including finishing inside the top 11 each of the past two years. However, it should provide you with a guide to who will be the most owned and how those around them shake out. (But maybe sprinkle in a top 10 bet just to make sure. Excludes Michigan Disassociated Persons. Like what you read today? Garrick Higgo (+220 for a Top 20) The Honda Classic celebrated its 50th anniversary last year but without a lefty among its list of champions; well, unless you approve Blaine McCallister's putting stroke that set what was then the tournament record of 22-under 266 at TPC Eagle Trace in 1989. Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. McDonald has locked in his best bets for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational and has tabbed several longshots, including two who come in well over 80-1. For more on Chirp, click here. Hes followed by Scottie Scheffler with a 7.69% implied probability and then Xander Schauffele at 5.58%. One of McClure's favorite prop bet picks this week at the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 is veteran Jason Day to finish in the top-20 of the final leaderboard at +125 odds (risk $100 to win. Caddies dont matter a ton, except when they do. This will be Woods first official PGA Tour event since the 2022 Open Championship. In this article, we are going to break down the previous round's top performers and duds and use that information to derive a player pool full of upside and leverage. At the Farmers Insurance Open, McClure's top One and Done pick, Max Homa, outlasted the . Spencer Aguiar - Will Zalatoris 5. That includes going 2-for-2 in the set last year. Win Big With RotoBaller 6. Hovland has the pedigree to win at least a couple of majors during his career. Expert Picks THE TOUR. 1-800-547-6133 (WA). The Aussie has had some great performances on tough golf courses this year (T8 at the Genesis, a win at the Honda). Its also worth noting the Bermuda greens, as some players putt better on them than others. PGA TOUR, PGA TOUR Champions, and the Swinging Golfer design are registered trademarks. Ill stop typing for a second to hear the sound of a million mice clicking away. One of McClure's top one and done picks this week for the Honda Classic is 24-year-old Sungjae Im. Schauffele has always played well at majors, and this has a major-tournament feel. Promotional offers not available in Nevada and New York. Aaron Rai (+225 for a Top 20) Last year this week, Sepp Straka was a Sleeper at +400 for a Top 20. CLICK HERE to learn more at HaveAGamePlan.org. Arnold Palmer Invitational Field. Theres no question Rahm is the hottest player in the field, with three wins on the PGA Tour already this season, including two designated events. Bonus bets expire 7 days from issuance. Tiger Woods, Bryson DeChambeau, and Rory McIlroy have won, but so have shorter hitters like Francesco Molinari and Matt Every. The Chicagoland native has been playing fantasy golf since 1994, so he was just waiting for the Internet to catch up with him. You can show your support for Byron by using the discount code MANIACwhen purchasing aPGA Premium Pass. These are the golfers I am gravitating towards, as they could very easily bounce the following day at half the ownership. 18 Sungjae Im, No. If the name rings a bell, its probably because youve been an avid PGA TOUR fan long enough to remember when he was the youngest member at the age of 20 in 2011. Pricing may vary. All promotions are subject to eligibility requirements.